Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 5.485026 5.998030 6.559196 7.222555 7.990459 8.857791 9.920668
2025-02-16 4.647021 5.337714 6.152487 7.200333 8.536254 10.217656 12.554380
2025-02-23 4.217925 5.007770 5.989165 7.330273 9.169907 11.695986 15.610380
2025-03-02 3.782305 4.590014 5.629274 7.110592 9.252670 12.393930 17.705422
2025-03-09 3.472185 4.289555 5.371960 6.970679 9.391083 13.157444 20.076223
2025-03-16 3.247158 4.074868 5.199290 6.914419 9.624111 14.088016 23.004239
2025-03-23 3.130156 3.992772 5.196550 7.097445 10.245341 15.780834 28.015304
2025-03-30 2.923358 3.767011 4.964303 6.897121 10.197521 16.261526 30.659521
2025-04-06 2.739033 3.559704 4.741062 6.684492 10.092714 16.604586 33.129194
2025-04-13 2.575681 3.372003 4.532469 6.473224 9.958078 16.856149 35.489495
2025-04-20 2.463996 3.252837 4.418692 6.406018 10.074992 17.653277 39.792167
2025-04-27 2.425761 3.239402 4.465599 6.612593 10.737307 19.809859 49.775573
2025-05-04 2.363730 3.193953 4.470576 6.769631 11.379447 22.256266 63.924645
2025-05-11 2.272142 3.099218 4.391768 6.773627 11.723269 24.135541 78.834786
2025-05-18 2.210857 3.047093 4.377678 6.893979 12.342881 27.041334 104.927548
2025-05-25 2.098060 2.906728 4.205178 6.693383 12.198002 27.639596 118.772717
2025-06-01 2.007263 2.796653 4.076702 6.565421 12.203491 28.739081 140.020201
2025-06-08 1.936468 2.714994 3.991412 6.513933 12.386052 30.533954 175.089545
2025-06-15 1.905571 2.696255 4.013739 6.681372 13.152394 34.870445 269.366658
2025-06-22 1.823814 2.589633 3.873641 6.498099 12.968727 35.428794 314.745850
2025-06-29 1.745773 2.485997 3.733483 6.303324 12.726192 35.669872 360.722962
2025-07-06 1.672755 2.387951 3.598607 6.109541 12.460203 35.730504 409.012825
2025-07-13 1.622901 2.326817 3.527612 6.047843 12.557407 37.530934 551.494528